Impact of new FEMA climate change rules unclear
Emergency management officials say they're not sure yet how North Carolina will be affected by new federal rules forcing all states to account for climate change as they prepare for natural disasters.
Posted — UpdatedAll states, including North Carolina, have mitigation plans approved by FEMA under current federal guidelines, which were last revised in 2008. Officials at the North Carolina Division of Emergency Management say they've already begun discussions with FEMA and will analyze the new requirements before making any changes.
"It's important to work this way so we reach the right conclusions the first time," Emergency Management Director Mike Sprayberry said in a statement. "North Carolina has a solid history and reputation for disaster preparedness, response and recovery, and we see nothing that prevents that track record from continuing for years to come."
But state officials say it's not clear yet what changes, if any, they'll need to make or what types of federal disaster funding are contingent on the plans.
"What we're trying to do at this point is figure out exactly what does this say," Julia Jarema, a spokeswoman for the Department of Public Safety, said. "It doesn't affect all the different pots of money from FEMA, but it does affect some."
Gavin Smith, an associate research professor at the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill and executive director of the UNC Center for the Study of Natural Hazards and Disasters, said North Carolina won't be alone in trying to interpret the new rules over the next year. Another open question is just how stringent federal officials will be.
But he said one thing is clear: States will have to officially incorporate climate change into their hazard planning.
"If they don't deal with it, then there are vulnerable states like North Carolina, Florida and Texas that could stand to leave hundreds of millions of dollars – even billions – on the table in the aftermath of disasters," Smith said. "That's real money."
The new FEMA rules could also mean real changes.
One of his recent studies examining the quality of local and state hazard mitigation plans in the late 2000s found few of them actually noted climate change. Researchers also found a disconnect between the plans and actual policies meant to prevent or reduce disaster risks.
Smith said it's unclear whether the new FEMA rules signal a more aggressive federal approach to disaster planning that would filter down to the states – especially without specific policies in place. Even though details remain to be worked out, he said the incorporation of climate change effects can be a good thing for states bracing for stronger hurricanes, more frequent flooding and other natural hazards.
"I'm very heartened that the federal administration is looking at this," he said.
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